نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسنده
استادیار گروه علوم سیاسی، دانشگاه پیام نور، تهران
چکیده
هرچند بحران اوکراین با ایجاد تنش میان روسیه-غرب و اعمال تحریمهای متقابل، نمایشهای نظامی و درگیریهای دیپلماتیک همراه بود، اما تأثیر چندانی بر سیاستهای فدراسیون روسیه در شمالگان و نظامیگرایی روسی در این منطقه نداشته است. همزمان مسکو توانسته است، همکاری در شمالگان را بهرغم تنشهای کنونی با غرب کماکان در سطح مطلوبی حفظ نماید و روابط خود را با دیگر بازیگران منطقهای بهصورت همکاریجویانه گسترش دهد. پرسش اصلی مقاله حاضر این است که «چرا رفتار روسیه در شمالگان بهرغم رقابت آن با ایالات متحده و غرب غیرمناقشهآمیز بوده و چرا احتمال وقوع تجربه اوکراین در شمالگان دور از واقع است؟» برای پاسخ به این پرسش، مولف با تدقیق در دو رویکرد نظری «وابستگی متقابل پیچیده» و «نوواقعگرایی» این فرضیه را به آزمون گذاشته است که برتری موضع روسیه در شمالگان و عدم تهدید جدی منافع آن در این منطقه از سوی دیگر قدرتها، بازی روسیه در شمالگان را متفاوت از سایر مناطق رقم زده است بهگونهای که کسب حداکثری منافع مسکو در شمالگان نیازمند همکاری و دستکم پرهیز از بروز تنش در این منطقه است. به همین جهت نیز بحران اوکراین بر فهم مسکو از شمالگان بهعنوان منطقه همکاری بینالمللی و صلح تأثیر چندانی نداشته است. یافتههای مقاله نیز که از نوع مقایسهای بوده و با روش توصیفی-تحلیلی انجام شده است، درستی فرضیه مقاله را تأیید میکند.
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