The South Caucasus region holds an important position in international politics in terms of energy resources, transit, geopolitical and geoeconomic importance. A region where the three countries of Azerbaijan, Armenia and Georgia, with their continued internal disputes and security instability, have prevented the formation of a common security complex and facilitated the influence and competition of regional and trans-regional actors in influencing the course of developments. Therefore, the main question is: what will be the approach of regional and transregional actors, their goals and position in achieving their interests in the South Caucasus in the horizon of 2035? In response to the main question, the main hypothesis claims that regional and transregional actors will adopt opposing approaches in the horizon of 2035 to achieve their strategic interests. And the geopolitical, political, and internal security challenges of the region and the contradictory alignment of the South Caucasus countries in proximity to regional and trans-regional powers in achieving national interests will make the security environment of the South Caucasus competitive, unbalanced, and critical, and will provide grounds for the influence of the aforementioned powers. The main goal of this research is to analyze and explain the interests of regional and trans-regional actors in the South Caucasus in the horizon of 2035 from the perspective of expert elites. The research method of this article is strategic foresight and Michel Goudet's structural analysis method, and the data collection tool is the use of books, articles, authentic documents, questionnaires, and semi-in-depth interviews experts and elites.
babaei,E. and abassi,M. (2025). Analysis of the goals of regional and trans-regional actors in the South Caucasus in the horizon of 2036. Central Asia and The Caucasus Journal, 31(132), 117-144. doi: 10.22034/ca.2025.732619
MLA
babaei,E. , and abassi,M. . "Analysis of the goals of regional and trans-regional actors in the South Caucasus in the horizon of 2036", Central Asia and The Caucasus Journal, 31, 132, 2025, 117-144. doi: 10.22034/ca.2025.732619
HARVARD
babaei E., abassi M. (2025). 'Analysis of the goals of regional and trans-regional actors in the South Caucasus in the horizon of 2036', Central Asia and The Caucasus Journal, 31(132), pp. 117-144. doi: 10.22034/ca.2025.732619
CHICAGO
E. babaei and M. abassi, "Analysis of the goals of regional and trans-regional actors in the South Caucasus in the horizon of 2036," Central Asia and The Caucasus Journal, 31 132 (2025): 117-144, doi: 10.22034/ca.2025.732619
VANCOUVER
babaei E., abassi M. Analysis of the goals of regional and trans-regional actors in the South Caucasus in the horizon of 2036. Central Asia and The Caucasus Journal, 2025; 31(132): 117-144. doi: 10.22034/ca.2025.732619