نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسنده
دانشجوی دکتری مدیریت راهبردی، دانشگاه و پژوهشگاه عالی دفاع ملی و تحقیقات راهبردی، تهران، ایران.
چکیده
چشم انداز همگرایانه تعمیق همکاری‌ها میان اعضای سازمان همکاری شانگهای طی دو دهه گذشته به ویژه بعد از گسترش جغرافیایی اخیر آن به سمت جنوب آسیا با سئوالات جدی مواجه شده است. جدی ترین و دیرپاترین اختلاف دوجانبه در سازمان همکاری شانگهای میان هند و پاکستان بر سر کشمیر در جریان است. اختلاف در برداشت ها و تفاسیر پکن و مسکو از نحوه عمل در نظام بین الملل کنونی و خواست متفاوت آنها از سازمان همکاری شانگهای - در کنار سایر عوامل- نیز با تأثیر بر مأموریت ها و عملکرد این سازمان می تواند به مثابه یک عامل واگرا عمل نماید. پرسش محوری مقاله این است که «اصلی ترین رقابت های درونی سازمان همکاری شانگهای کدام هستند و چه تأثیری بر انسجام و آینده این سازمان دارند؟» فرضیه به آزمون گذاشته شده این بوده است که «اصلی ترین رقابت ها در سازمان همکاری شانگهای میان چین و روسیه برای تعیین جهت و دستورکار این سازمان و میان هند و پاکستان بر سر مسأله کشمیر در جریان است که اولی از طریق پراکندگی در اولویت های سازمان و دومی به واسطه تضعیف پیوندهای امنیتی و دفاعی میان اعضا، ظرفیت های واگرایی در سازمان را تقویت و مانع ارتقای آن در آینده می شود».
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